Thursday, November 11, 2010

The Early Repubican Presidential Primary Prognositcation

Things won't really heat up in the Republican Civil War until the primaries start in earnest. Right now we are seeing the battle lines being drawn, but the major battles won't happen until the campaigning gets started.

Some are calling Romney the frontrunner. I say "no way". The teabag wing of the party would never stand for Romney, but as long as he has frontrunner status there will be a big bulls-eye on his back and the rifts within the party will continue to be exposed. But, don't underestimate the establishment wing of the party if a Huckabee or Palin looks especially strong early on.

The most important thing to remember though is that it is still WAY too early to know anything about how the 2012 field will be put together and which way the winds will blow once the balloting (or caucusing) starts. We have some ideas, but it will take a while to shake out.

More read here, here, and here.

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